Saturday, September 06, 2008

Melbourne - a victim of its own success

After frequently winning, or being one of the top contestants for the 'World's Most Livable City Award', the local newspaper, The Age, reported yesterday that Melbourne's population will double, and reach 8 million, by the middle of the century. I understand what's all the fuss about, as before I noticed it, I too have fallen in love with the city.

Quick search with key words 'Melbourne population' on the newspaper's site reviles astonishing statistics: such as 1500 new people per week, 75000 per year; the rate used to be at 55000 new people on average per year between 2001 and 2006; current growth rate surpasses any estimates made for the city in the year 2030. The statistics are combined with the scary issues of inadequate water supplies, housing and transport capacities...

The trend will have to turn it's course. I am guessing that the current rate in population increase will ease naturally, as more people arrive to the city, the city will become less livable... - the negative outcome of the network effect. One can only hope, for the sake of the Melbournians, that the population boom will slow down to an acceptable rate which the progress of the infrastructure development can sustain...!


UPDATED, 25th Oct 09

David (comments) is right; the trends of this type do not change, the latest news estimates Melbourne population at 7 million within 40 years.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

when has that EVER happened ? nope bro, its the natural process of migration and it won't stop soon ;)